401-4920-00L  Market-Consistent Actuarial Valuation

SemesterFrühjahrssemester 2022
DozierendeM. V. Wüthrich, H. Furrer
Periodizität2-jährlich wiederkehrende Veranstaltung
LehrspracheEnglisch


KurzbeschreibungIntroduction to market-consistent actuarial valuation.
Topics: Stochastic discounting, full balance sheet approach, valuation portfolio in life and non-life insurance, technical and financial risks, risk management for insurance companies.
LernzielGoal is to give the basic mathematical tools for describing insurance products within a financial market and economic environment and provide the basics of solvency considerations.
InhaltIn this lecture we give a full balance sheet approach to the task of actuarial valuation of an insurance company. Therefore we introduce a multidimensional valuation portfolio (VaPo) on the liability side of the balance sheet. The basis of this multidimensional VaPo is a set of financial instruments. This approach makes the liability side of the balance sheet directly comparable to its asset side.

The lecture is based on four sections:
1) Stochastic discounting
2) Construction of a multidimensional Valuation Portfolio for life insurance products (with guarantees)
3) Construction of a multidimensional Valuation Portfolio for a run-off portfolio of a non-life insurance company
4) Measuring financial risks in a full balance sheet approach (ALM risks)
LiteraturMarket-Consistent Actuarial Valuation, 3rd edition.
Wüthrich, M.V.
EAA Series, Springer 2016.
ISBN: 978-3-319-46635-4

Wüthrich, M.V., Merz, M.
Claims run-off uncertainty: the full picture.
SSRN Manuscript ID 2524352 (2015).

England, P.D, Verrall, R.J., Wüthrich, M.V.
On the lifetime and one-year views of reserve risk, with application to IFRS 17 and Solvency II risk margins.
Insurance: Mathematics and Economics 85 (2019), 74-88.

Wüthrich, M.V., Embrechts, P., Tsanakas, A.
Risk margin for a non-life insurance run-off.
Statistics & Risk Modeling 28 (2011), no. 4, 299--317.

Financial Modeling, Actuarial Valuation and Solvency in Insurance.
Wüthrich, M.V., Merz, M.
Springer Finance 2013.
ISBN: 978-3-642-31391-2

Cheridito, P., Ery, J., Wüthrich, M.V.
Assessing asset-liability risk with neural networks.
Risks 8/1 (2020), article 16.
Voraussetzungen / BesonderesThe exams ONLY take place during the official ETH examination period.

This course will be held in English and counts towards the diploma of "Aktuar SAV".
For the latter, see details under Link.

Knowledge in probability theory, stochastic processes and statistics is assumed.